Monday, January 25, 2016

investing & inferior good

You both like economics.
Stranger: hello
You: hi
Stranger: how are you doing?
You: ok
You: you?
Stranger: fine
You: I have a quick question
You: what's that word for an 'un-preferred' good
You: like hot dogs
Stranger: not sure if i know that
Stranger: unpreferred in what way?
Stranger: hot dogs are not preferred due to them being unhealthy
Stranger: or do you mean in economics? i dont know such terminology
You: for example, something like, if the economy is doing good
You: less of them are bought
Stranger: nope dont know economics words
You: aw
You: why are you interested in it?
Stranger: because I like money
You: ok?
Stranger: serious
You: how much do you have?
Stranger: approximately 2.2 million SEK
Stranger: its around $280k I think
Stranger: all in banks
You: from what/
You: ?
Stranger: well, I just got out of prison
Stranger: LOL
Stranger: no but seriously
Stranger: I made a lot from working, from investing in less favorable assets (at the time) and most of the money from bitcoin
You: ah
Stranger: are you interested in investing?
You: I do invest
Stranger: in what?
You: Netflix, and Corning
You: I'll diversify soon
Stranger: oh stocks?
You: ya
Stranger: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Preference_(economics) this might help answer your q
Stranger: i never did stocks because I couldnt be sure what is supposed to be the backbone of a good stock. many fakes out there
Stranger: but i bought gold and greek government bonds
Stranger: would you buy greek govt bonds?
You: why?
Stranger: the price of the bonds were at all time lows during 2012
Stranger: so a 4% coupon was effectively 8%
Stranger: even more, 10% if you bought at the lowest point
Stranger: price was 40 per 100
Stranger: i managed to buy in at 50 and have been getting 8% interest for a long time now
Stranger: and they have gone up in price, almost double
You: damn
Stranger: but nobody would buy
Stranger: everyone thought greece is going bankrupt
Stranger: but nobody knew the underlying mechanics of things
Stranger: greece cant go bankrupt
Stranger: the whole eu system gets fucked then and all the debts get erased
You: smart
Stranger: but people denied this
Stranger: actually im not a smart investor. proven this many times
Stranger: people just chose to believe news
Stranger: these things occur due to news controlling beliefs and attitudes
Stranger: do you know that we are at the brink of an economic collapse
Stranger: worse than 2008?
You: I heard something like that about a year ago
Stranger: probably not regarding whats happening now
Stranger: this happened recently
Stranger: there is an index called baltic dry index
Stranger: in essence it says how good the international trade is, east <-> west
Stranger: shipping etc
Stranger: it is at an all time low. historic low
Stranger: since it started around 30 something years ago
Stranger: this means that the amount of goods being shipped have gone down drastically. says alot about how money moves
Stranger: this is also due to chinas economy about to collapse, with consecutive currency devaluations
You: hugh
Stranger: also, their stock markets have "adapted" by adding some security measure - if stocks fall by more than 7% in a day, the stock exchange freezes
Stranger: this security measure has been turned on several weeks in a row
You: which one
You: all stock exchanges?
Stranger: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-01-04/chinese-stocks-in-hong-kong-extend-annual-slump-as-yuan-declines
Stranger: if china fails, the global effect will be humongous
Stranger: as of now ALL indexes have gone down
Stranger: sp500, nasdaq, dow jones
Stranger: even the swedish avanza zero which is based on swedens 30 most traded stocks has gone down
Stranger: and it looks like an iceberg tip just like 2008
You: Is there a graph showing all these indexes on the same page?
Stranger: .let me get you one
Stranger: https://www.avanza.se/fonder/om-fonden.html/41567/avanza-zero
Stranger: do this
Stranger: on the bottom of the graph click "10 år"
Stranger: then on the top of the graph click on the "Jämför" and choose on the list which comparison you wan
Stranger: t
Stranger: see whats happening
You: I mean all at once
You: all indexes compared
Stranger: eh there must be some charting site
Stranger: want me to look?
You: I'm also looking
You: (and I found the word I was looking for from your link!)
You: inferior good
Stranger: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ
Stranger: on the top left corner enter which symbol you want
You: http://markets.ft.com/research/Markets/Tearsheets/Summary?s=AW01:FSI
Stranger: top middle button you have "compare"
You: oughhh, you're is more technical
You: ....
Stranger: yep see how 2015 was a turning point
Stranger: and not a small one
Stranger: with lots of bad things right around the corner
Stranger: these pump and dump cycles are pure inefficiencies
Stranger: at least theyre explainable
Stranger: investors leverage themselves too much and they end up failing
Stranger: this is keynesian economics doing its work
Stranger: they think they can steer shit
Stranger: increase interest rate, decrease it
Stranger: do this, do that
Stranger: economics is a natural phenomena, not a virtual one
Stranger: so this is why I like money, but still dislike it
Stranger: because someone else is deciding how much of my money is printed
Stranger: i need 5% growth annualy to make sure im not losing money
Stranger: thats why i am buying shares of the restaurant im a chef and manager in
Stranger: on the process of buying it for 180k or so
Stranger: why, cause money wont give me shit
Stranger: all the money ive worked for isnt even a nice apartment in this city
Stranger: at least, AT LEAST I can afford to buy a business that will supply me with the money I need for a satisfactory life
Stranger: such as affording private school for my kids, if i get any
Stranger: a quiet car, a nice apartment in an area with no crime
Stranger: so do they teach you keynesian/austrian economic schools of thought?
You: taught keynesian/hayek
Stranger: you from the us?
You: yes
Stranger: cool
Stranger: sweden here
You: nice
Stranger: college?
Stranger: economics major?
You: uwplatt.edu
You: electrical engineering
Stranger: good job
Stranger: good investment
Stranger: will pay off
You: =)
Stranger: dont drop out
Stranger: also, save money
Stranger: invest in hard assets
You: thanks, talk to ya another time =J

Saturday, December 26, 2015

Nietzsche's Eternal Return

What about time?
  • eternal return
  • He professes that the wish for the eternal return of all events would mark the ultimate affirmation of life:
    • What, if some day or night a demon were to steal after you into your loneliest loneliness and say to you: 'This life as you now live it and have lived it, you will have to live once more and innumerable times more' ... Would you not throw yourself down and gnash your teeth and curse the demon who spoke thus? Or have you once experienced a tremendous moment when you would have answered him: 'You are a god and never have I heard anything more divine.' [The Gay Science, §341]

Stranger: What is metaphysics?
You: the nature of reality
Stranger: but physics is also making argument about that
You: physics is about matter and energy
Stranger: Ok by matter and energy, physics illustrate the nature of reality
You: It's just implied that I mean 'immaterial' reality
You: Immaterial reality then pertains to what is not constrained by physical laws, eg concepts such as ‘character’ and the ‘mind’, Plato’s Forms, the realm of God and spirits...
You: time
You: although, time is a measurement in physics
You: but it comes from metaphysics
You: since time is a human construct
Stranger: Is time a human construct?
You: time isn't explained by physics
You: if it is where?
You: when I study regular physics I use time as a measurement

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

Hubris, and because less people will die

Bruna
Stranger: Hello Adam
You: what's unique to your culture?
You: or symbols off the top of your head
Stranger: Our dances, foods
You: ok, what foods
You: for me, Wisconsin, it's cheese
Stranger: Ok
Stranger: Idk the name in english
Stranger: "Feijoada"
You: stew
You: special stew
Stranger: Stew?
You: (fei·jo·a·da
A Brazilian or Portuguese stew of black beans with pork or other meat and vegetables, served with rice.)
Stranger: Oww... Did you know, or you searched it?
You: searched
Stranger: Uhm...
Stranger: Great
Stranger: So, i am brazilian
You: I guessed
Stranger: And stew is our unique food
Stranger: Lol
You: =)
You: I'm glad
You: these spoiled boys that I babysit for
You: complain about "always"
You: having sandwiches for lunch
You: now I have something new (although they don't 'always' have sandwiches anyway)
Stranger: Are you a nanny?
You: define nanny
Stranger: The person who babysit kids
You: yes
You: I work hourly 7:30-3 at their house, and bring them to chess practice, soccer, etc
Stranger: Oww... Its cool
Stranger: Where do you live?
You: got a job after that too
You: Wisconsin
You: Sheboygan
You: along Lake Michigan
You: it was cold
You: went in on Sunday
Stranger: Oh
Stranger: You told it
Stranger: I forgot
You: I've done that here before =J too
You: Do you live in the city?
Stranger: Tell me more about your culture
You: Americans don't value education
You: I do
Stranger: Yes!
You: hubris
You: American hubris
Stranger: Education is so much important
You: agreed
You: there is even a word for these people:
You: intentional non-learners
Stranger: Here our education isn't so good
You: damn
You: Americans watch a lot of tv
You: I'd say we overindulge in negative/passive leisure
You: we're eating less and less as a family
You: not family meals, but individual
Stranger: Uauu! You have good words
Stranger: A great speach.
Stranger: Lol
You: you're still learning English?
Stranger: Yeah
You: urbandictionary.com will help
You: you learn American slang
You: it's also hilarious
Stranger: Thanks for the advice
You: I promote that site a lot here
Stranger: Why?
You: it's very useful
You: even when I was growing up
You: and someone said words I don't know
You: especially adult words
You: I'd always find the answer on that site
Stranger: But aren't you an american?
You: yes
You: as a child we don't know adult words
You: jacking off, blow job, etc
Stranger: Ohh... I see
You: horny, blue waffle
You: muffin top...some are cruel
Stranger: Yeah! I really need that site
Stranger: Haha
You: one of my Brazilian Skype friends noted how he just found out
You: about "sleeping with"
You: as he was telling me that he slept in the bed with this girl, but did not 'sleep with' her
Stranger: Lol
You: how old are you btw?
Stranger: 17
You: 20
Stranger: Ok
Stranger: Do you study?
You: formally
You: I'm going for electrical engineering
You: uwplatt.edu
You: although, this past semester
You: I had to work part time, and go to online college
You: (since I did so poorly the semester before that)
Stranger: An interesting course
You: I have very low willpower
You: I would binge on online movies
You: other online things too
You: that's a significant reason why I did so bad
You: What do you want to do?
You: still in secondary school?
Stranger: International relations
Stranger: Yeah
You: if that's what you call it
You: wow
You: culture all the way!
Stranger: I want to work in a humanity organization
Stranger: Thats why
Stranger: I love other cultures
You: awesome
You: you mean
You: humanitarian--right?
Stranger: Yes!
Stranger: Hahah
You: =)
You: I know more than the average bear
You: about extreme poverty
You: NGOs
You: macro-economics
You: It really comes down to what I believe is my purpose in life
You: to lessen extreme poverty
You: (that was a terrible sentence)
You: grammar wise
Stranger: You have a good purpose in your life
You: thank you
Stranger: Everybody should have the same one
You: Why?
You: That's a bold statement.
Stranger: Because less people will die
You: I suppose...I'm happy that you're churning my thoughts that are usually kept dormant
Stranger: ;
Stranger: :)
You: I've reduced your position (everyone should care about it) to everyone should merely join/support a cause
You: any cause: AIDS, teen literacy rates in Chicago public schools, rights for women in Afghanistan, etc
You: but you said it so simply
You: because less people will die
You: bam
Stranger: Ok... Sorry for my simple answer
Stranger: Hahaa
You: brevity is the soul of wit
You: (quote)
Stranger: You know about many things...
Stranger: Do you read very much?
You: haaa, I've got an even better quote for that
Stranger: Thanks
Stranger: Haha
You: "By attempting many things, I have accomplished nothing”
You: http://plato.stanford.edu/entries/grotius/
You: I like to think I read often
You: I try, but to not
You: for example, I have a daily to-do list (habitrpg.com)
You: and one of my dailies is it be reading 20 min ago
You: until I go to sleep
Stranger: You type so fast
Stranger: Hahaha
You: mistakes too *but do not
Stranger: I like read too, but i seldom do that